Quick take: There is no border-Ukraine deal, Biden should move unilaterally
Senate Republicans had been negotiating with Senate Democrats on a deal that would have added border security, and changed immigration policy, in exchange for continued funding for Ukraine, along with additional funding including for Israel. In politics, one negotiates with those with whom one must. It is the art of the necessary, not the art of the ideal. The southern border is a disaster, Ukraine needs help, Israel needs help, the details are less important than the broad strokes. The House was always going to be a problem, but Senate Republicans are now backing out of negotiations, with Mitch McConnell seemingly saying that the GOP should refuse to deal so as to ensure that Trump can point to the border disaster and the lack of any policy resolution for a campaign issue. No one should be surprised.
There is an obvious solution. Biden should move unilaterally on all issues, including the border. While Mayorkas has done nothing even remotely resembling "high crimes and misdemeanors," US policy has allowed the southern border to turn into a crisis for all involved. Thanks to Donald Trump, Joe Biden can declare it a national emergency and reallocate any funds necessary, and all funds that would have been allocated under any deal for border security without any of the policy changes the GOP has demanded.
There is nothing the GOP can do about it. Indeed, it is almost exactly what they are demanding, neutralizing Trump's campaign tactic too.
Can he use similarly heavy-handed tactics to direct resources to Ukraine and Israel? With brazenness, yes.
Do it. Republican recalcitrance means they get nothing and Biden gets everything. Trump's own "national emergency" gambit gave Biden the power to short-circuit the normal politics of the opposition party stymying deals in order to stick the blame on the president and retain an issue, as in Gilmour's Strategic Disagreement. I will write more detailed analysis at some point, but Gilmour may now be wrong.
Biden has to move money around to do it, instead of getting newly appropriated funds. Fine. Move it from GOP priorities. Oh, there's a plane built in your district? We don't need that, fuck you. Sucks to be you. Throw that as a bone to the leftists. Coalition maintenance.
If the GOP doesn't want to negotiate, show them what it looks like when a president doesn't negotiate. These are their rules.
Biden still thinks the US political system can revert to a pre-Trump equilibrium. It cannot.
Let's go with a classic. Robert Johnson, "Last Fair Deal Gone Down."
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