Quick take/weekend preview: On the "red wave" that didn't happen
Apparently I need to explain this in detail. A wave election is a deviation from the norm. It is an unusual event. Your default expectation should never be the deviation from the norm. It should be the norm. Your expectation should be not a wave. Did anyone see me say, "a red tide is coming!"? No. Why not? Because that would have been a deviation, not the baseline. I will elaborate this weekend on baselines, deviations, and predictions, along with the actual conditions behind the wave elections of 1994, 2006 and 2010.
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