Quick take: The Trump grand jury
I have been telling you, repeatedly, that Donald Trump will never be convicted, nor even indicted for anything. The big political news of the day is that a grand jury has been convened for his attempt to rig the Georgia election. So, a few comments. First, I am updating my assessment of the possibility of an indictment, but not of a conviction. A politically-minded DA might think she can score some points by tilting at this particular windbag, even with an inevitable loss. However, the probability of a conviction remains absolute zero. You cannot, I repeat, cannot compose a jury without any Republicans, and there are zero Republicans other than Cheney or Kinzinger who would ever vote to convict Trump of anything. A conviction is impossible. Donald Trump really could murder someone on 5th Avenue, on camera, in broad daylight, and you couldn't compose a jury in this country that would convict him because you can't block every single Republican from the jury pool. He cannot be convicted. He is above the law. Might there be an indictment, just because some DA thinks that she can elevate herself through the fight, even knowing she'll lose? Maybe, but don't fool yourself. Trump will get away with everything.
And he'll probably be president again in 2025, regardless of the vote tallies.
Just for shits and giggles, I looked up the numbers in Fulton and DeKalb and....yeah. That's still a decent number of not-guilty votes.
ReplyDeleteMore digging: Maybe Clayton County? 6 x 10(-11) of all juries drawn randomly in Clayton (assuming voters and jurors are from identical pools) would have no fascist voters in them. If voters skew more R than population (a fair assumption for GA, I think), maybe that number gets up to a 1/100 million?
ReplyDeleteSo, there's a chance!
Your honor, my client demands a change of venue!
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