Quick take: Georgia charges against Trump?
Aaaaand... right after I tell you that Trump will get away with everything, we get word that there is a criminal investigation into Trump's attempt to pressure the Georgia Sec. State into conjuring just enough votes to flip the state for him, which would be, you know, election fraud. So here's the thing about prosecutions. As the old saying goes, you can indict a ham sandwich, and the meat in such a delight would have the right complexion, in Trump's case, even though I usually avoid such an obvious and overused joke, but whatever. Nevertheless, could he be indicted? Sure. But he'll never be convicted. Why not? A jury of Georgians? How many Republicans are going to be on that jury? Think this through. Now do what we, game theorists, do: backwards induction. Given that Trump would be acquitted, why indict him?
Will Trump be indicted in Georgia? I cannot say for certain, but I would lean against it. Will he be convicted, and have that conviction upheld through appeals? No. No chance whatsoever. None. Zero. He has zero legal risk. Absolute zero.
So why indict him? Wouldn't make sense to me...
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