Brief comment on Bill Barr and October surprises (read: "oops")

 Just a quick comment here, but I will come back to the general issue.  First, I like to do admissions when I get things wrong, as a check on my intellectual integrity.  After all, nobody reads this damned blog, so there is no point in lying to myself.  If I write for myself, I should use the opportunity for honest analysis.

I have repeatedly asserted that Bill Barr would provide Donald Trump with some sort of October surprise.  He has not.  Trump's COVID diagnosis was enough of an October surprise, and Trump himself has expressed displeasure that Barr and the rest of the DoJ have not actually arrested Biden, Obama and the rest of Trump's enemies list because of... I dunno.  I can't actually follow the lunacy.  Nevertheless, there was a pseudo-scandal over the "unmasking" of Flynn, Trump actually managed to convince himself that he could get Obama and Biden both arrested over it, and when Barr didn't do it, Trump decided that Barr had flunked his latest test of flunky-ism.

Anyway, Barr has not provided an October surprise.  I didn't expect him to arrest Biden, but I expected him to do something Comey-esque.  He hasn't.  I got that wrong.

Why?  I'll be addressing this more thoroughly, but basically, my current expectation is that if Trump loses (far from a certainty), Barr will manage Trump's legal case, as his personal attorney.  If he can try to insert himself into the E. Jean Carroll lawsuit, he'll insert himself into 2020 election lawsuits.  The E. Jean Carroll lawsuit was clearly not the business of the DoJ, but elections?  He can insert himself into those.  In lots of ways.

Stay tuned.