The effect of Trump's acquittal: I've been right all along
This is just a quick comment, but it needs to be stated.
I have been saying all along that the political effect of impeaching Trump, given the 100% certainty of a Senate acquittal, would be to help Trump. The modern precedent of a failed impeachment was Bill Clinton, who was impeached, amid a strong economy, and the consequence was one of two midterm elections in modern history in which the president's party gained seats in Congress. (The other was the post-9/11 election of 2002.)
Donald Trump has been acquitted by the Senate, as was 100% certain all along. I'll admit to surprise at Romney's vote, but one vote is spitting into the ocean. I predict the tides, not the spittle. Those arguing that impeachment could hurt Trump have looked for evidence in a wide variety of polls, but the only polls that have ever mattered are Trump's approval/disapproval numbers, and I've been saying so all along. What has been happening there?
Check the RealClearPolitics numbers. Trump's approval rating has been going up. He is still net negative, but it has been on an up-trend, and Gallup just put him at nearly 50-50. For Trump, that's glowing. It's like when your F student brings home a test with a D- for the first time in his life. Another couple of those, and it'll only take a few million to bribe his way into Fordham! (Bribing his way into Penn will still cost an arm and a leg...)
Why are the approval/disapproval numbers the only ones that matter? Those are the numbers we plug into election forecasting models, along with economic data.
Yes, the Democrats just helped Donald Trump.
If you are asking me what they should have done... haven't you been paying attention to my Schrodinger's box analogy?
I have been saying all along that the political effect of impeaching Trump, given the 100% certainty of a Senate acquittal, would be to help Trump. The modern precedent of a failed impeachment was Bill Clinton, who was impeached, amid a strong economy, and the consequence was one of two midterm elections in modern history in which the president's party gained seats in Congress. (The other was the post-9/11 election of 2002.)
Donald Trump has been acquitted by the Senate, as was 100% certain all along. I'll admit to surprise at Romney's vote, but one vote is spitting into the ocean. I predict the tides, not the spittle. Those arguing that impeachment could hurt Trump have looked for evidence in a wide variety of polls, but the only polls that have ever mattered are Trump's approval/disapproval numbers, and I've been saying so all along. What has been happening there?
Check the RealClearPolitics numbers. Trump's approval rating has been going up. He is still net negative, but it has been on an up-trend, and Gallup just put him at nearly 50-50. For Trump, that's glowing. It's like when your F student brings home a test with a D- for the first time in his life. Another couple of those, and it'll only take a few million to bribe his way into Fordham! (Bribing his way into Penn will still cost an arm and a leg...)
Why are the approval/disapproval numbers the only ones that matter? Those are the numbers we plug into election forecasting models, along with economic data.
Yes, the Democrats just helped Donald Trump.
If you are asking me what they should have done... haven't you been paying attention to my Schrodinger's box analogy?
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